Companies with IPO baseline
9
5 published company currently lacks an IPO comparison point.
Insights · Post-bubble
How big is the business after the rent gets repriced?
This page compares IPO market cap, current market cap, and an illustrative residual cap equal to current value minus the site's directional freed-capital estimate. It is a thought experiment with receipts, not a liquidation oracle.
Current cap in sample
$20.6T
Only companies with an IPO baseline are included in this view.
Illustrative residual cap
$18T
Current cap minus the portion the model sees as most vulnerable to open pressure.
Average IPO return
7,320.3x
Average IPO CAGR 31.4%.
Log-scale comparison
Then, now, and after the unwind
The chart uses a log scale so tiny IPO-era caps do not collapse into decorative dust beside today's trillion-dollar values.
On mobile, the main story is presented as ranked cards first so you do not have to pan across the full comparison chart to understand the page.
NVIDIA
NVDA
5.2% challenged
IPO cap
$332,444,856
Current cap
$4.3T
Residual cap
$4.1T
At risk
$222.5B
IPO x
12,934.5x
IPO CAGR
41.7%
Apple
AAPL
6.3% challenged
IPO cap
$1.2B
Current cap
$3.7T
Residual cap
$3.5T
At risk
$234.3B
IPO x
3,102.1x
IPO CAGR
19.4%
Microsoft
MSFT
15.9% challenged
IPO cap
$519,017,373
Current cap
$3.3T
Residual cap
$2.8T
At risk
$523.2B
IPO x
6,358.2x
IPO CAGR
24.5%
Alphabet
GOOGL
18.5% challenged
IPO cap
$23.1B
Current cap
$2.4T
Residual cap
$2T
At risk
$444.3B
IPO x
104.1x
IPO CAGR
24.0%
Amazon
AMZN
13.7% challenged
IPO cap
$429,456,636
Current cap
$2.2T
Residual cap
$1.9T
At risk
$301.3B
IPO x
5,122.8x
IPO CAGR
34.5%
Meta Platforms
META
24.8% challenged
IPO cap
$81.2B
Current cap
$1.8T
Residual cap
$1.4T
At risk
$446B
IPO x
22.2x
IPO CAGR
25.1%
Broadcom
AVGO
10.7% challenged
IPO cap
$3.5B
Current cap
$1.1T
Residual cap
$982.2B
At risk
$117.8B
IPO x
310.9x
IPO CAGR
41.3%
Tesla
TSLA
19.0% challenged
IPO cap
$1.6B
Current cap
$1T
Residual cap
$810B
At risk
$190B
IPO x
631.8x
IPO CAGR
50.8%
Walmart
WMT
12.1% challenged
IPO cap
$21,450,000
Current cap
$800B
Residual cap
$703B
At risk
$97B
IPO x
37,296.0x
IPO CAGR
20.9%
IPO market cap
Illustrative residual cap
Current market cap
Capital split
How much looks durable versus challengeable?
A second view sizes each bar by the company's current market cap, then splits the bar into residual value and the share the model believes could be repriced if substitutes compound.
Illustrative residual cap
Freed-capital potential
NVIDIA
Residual $4.1T · At risk $222.5B
Current market cap $4.3T
Apple
Residual $3.5T · At risk $234.3B
Current market cap $3.7T
Microsoft
Residual $2.8T · At risk $523.2B
Current market cap $3.3T
Alphabet
Residual $2T · At risk $444.3B
Current market cap $2.4T
Amazon
Residual $1.9T · At risk $301.3B
Current market cap $2.2T
Meta Platforms
Residual $1.4T · At risk $446B
Current market cap $1.8T
Broadcom
Residual $982.2B · At risk $117.8B
Current market cap $1.1T
Tesla
Residual $810B · At risk $190B
Current market cap $1T
Walmart
Residual $703B · At risk $97B
Current market cap $800B
Reference table
Published company comparisons
The table below keeps the underlying values visible for readers who prefer numbers before vibes.
Current exclusions
These published companies have current market-cap and freed-capital data, but they do not yet have a usable IPO baseline in the published corpus, so they are excluded from the comparison charts instead of being faked into neatness.
Applied MaterialsBank of AmericaBerkshire HathawayCaterpillarCoca-Cola